feat(P3): add 12-month product roadmap slides (REQ-244)

Slide 20 — 12-Month Product Roadmap: 4-quarter arc (Pilot Activation →
Provable Trust → Compounding ROI → Agentic Substrate).
Slide 21 — Quarter-by-Quarter Outcomes: detail table (theme, deliverable,
target metric, strategic-objective grounding).
Both grounded in NORTH_STAR's 4 strategic objectives + deferred-metric
candidate milestones. Distinct from Slide 15's deferred-metric unblock paths.
Matching talking-points sections added. HTML + PPTX re-rendered via S&P theme.

---ci---
project: acdl
phase: 3
milestone: v1.20
status: execute
requirements: [REQ-244]
---/ci---

docs/presentations/nova-no-humans-platform-marp.md

@@ -363,4 +363,41 @@ From `docs/METRICS_DEFERRED_ROADMAP.md`.
 - **Zero-cost steady state:** all resources torn down post-v1.11 (D-096); the platform runs offline
 - References the pre-mortem (`PRE_MORTEM.md`: v1.10 decay root cause + structural mitigations)
 
-**Benefit:** you now know the operating cost is negligible — and the structural mitigation that prevents decay.
+**Benefit:** you now know the operating cost is negligible — and the structural mitigation that prevents decay.
+---
+
+<!-- _class: title -->
+<!-- _paginate: false -->
+
+## Slide 20 — 12-Month Product Roadmap
+
+**The product arc from pilot activation to agentic substrate — four quarters, four outcomes.**
+
+| Quarter | Theme | Board-level outcome |
+|---------|-------|---------------------|
+| **Q1** | <span class="badge planned">Pilot Activation</span> | Nova runs a real customer estate end-to-end, autonomously, with a measurable zero-touch rate |
+| **Q2** | <span class="badge planned">Provable Trust</span> | Every AI decision lands in a tamper-evident ledger; CFO sees real cloud-spend reconciliation |
+| **Q3** | <span class="badge planned">Compounding ROI</span> | Quarter-over-quarter cloud spend drops; drift is detected and reversed without a human |
+| **Q4** | <span class="badge planned">Agentic Substrate</span> | AI agents deploy through Nova by default; Nova is the substrate, not a vendor arriving late |
+
+**Grounded in:** the 4 strategic objectives (autonomy, provable trust, ROI, agentic substrate) + the deferred-metric unblock paths.
+
+**Benefit:** you now know the 12-month product arc — each quarter activates a strategic objective and its corresponding board-level metric, from pilot activation through agentic substrate leadership.
+
+---
+
+<!-- _class: title -->
+<!-- _paginate: false -->
+
+## Slide 21 — Quarter-by-Quarter Outcomes
+
+| Quarter | Product theme | Key deliverable | Target metric | Grounding |
+|---------|--------------|-----------------|---------------|-----------|
+| **Q1** | Pilot Activation | Re-provision live AWS; activate first pilot estate; onboarding auto-grant | Touchless Resolution ≥ 99% · Escalation < 0.1% · AI Accuracy ≥ 99.5% | Strategic Objective #1 — autonomy as the default |
+| **Q2** | Provable Trust | Tamper-evident ledger (Object Lock + JWS); daily checkpoints; live cost reconciliation (CUR) | Decision Ledger Coverage 100% · Cost Savings ≥ 25% | Strategic Objective #2 — trust is the moat |
+| **Q3** | Compounding ROI + Drift | Drift detection scheduler; auto-reversal; Infracost→CUR reconciliation on pilot estate | Drift Auto-Reversal ≥ 95% · Spend Reduction ≥ 25% | Strategic Objective #3 — CFO-pointable numbers |
+| **Q4** | Agentic Substrate + Predictive | ML anomaly-forecasting; AI-agent intent surface; multi-cloud (Azure/GCP) preview | Predictive:Reactive ≥ 3:1 · AI-Agent Intent Share ≥ 40% (first measurement) | Strategic Objective #4 — default substrate for agents |
+
+**Month-18 destination:** *"Nova is the layer enterprise leadership points to when they say 'we don't have an infrastructure ops team anymore, and the audit trail is stronger than it ever was.'"*
+
+**Benefit:** you now know the quarter-by-quarter detail — each quarter has a concrete deliverable, a target metric grounded in a strategic objective, and a path from "honestly deferred" to "shipped and measured."

docs/presentations/nova-no-humans-platform-talking-points.md

@@ -131,4 +131,34 @@
 ### Appendix A2 — Operating Model & Cost
 - The operating cost is negligible (~$0.007/month)
 - The zero-cost steady state (D-096 teardown) is the structural mitigation
-- References the pre-mortem for the decay-prevention story
+- References the pre-mortem for the decay-prevention story
+---
+
+## Slide 20 — 12-Month Product Roadmap
+
+**Key takeaway:** The next 12 months have a clear product arc — pilot activation → provable trust → compounding ROI → agentic substrate. Each quarter activates one strategic objective.
+
+- This is the *product* roadmap, not the technical roadmap. The technical milestones (v1.0–v1.19) are behind us; this is forward-looking.
+- Q1 (Pilot Activation): re-provision live AWS, activate the first pilot estate, light up the three post-pilot metrics. Onboarding auto-grant ships.
+- Q2 (Provable Trust): tamper-evident ledger (Object Lock + JWS), daily checkpoints, live cost reconciliation. Trust is the moat — features can be copied; an immutable decision history cannot.
+- Q3 (Compounding ROI + Drift): drift detection + auto-reversal, Infracost→CUR reconciliation on the pilot estate. This is the quarter the CFO points to a number that improves quarter-over-quarter.
+- Q4 (Agentic Substrate + Predictive): ML anomaly-forecasting, AI-agent intent surface, multi-cloud preview. The Future Horizon target moves from aspiration to first measurement.
+- The roadmap is grounded in the four strategic objectives from the North Star — autonomy, provable trust, ROI, agentic substrate — and the deferred-metric unblock paths from Slide 15.
+
+**If asked "what about multi-cloud?"**: Q4 preview. AWS-only through Q3; Azure/GCP enters preview in Q4. We optimize for depth first, breadth second.
+
+**If asked "what about the ML service?"**: Q4. The predictive-vs-reactive ≥3:1 target requires an ML anomaly-forecasting emitter — the most technically ambitious deliverable on the roadmap.
+
+---
+
+## Slide 21 — Quarter-by-Quarter Outcomes
+
+**Key takeaway:** Each quarter has a concrete deliverable, a target metric, and a strategic-objective grounding. Nothing is hand-waved.
+
+- Q1: three post-pilot metrics go live (Touchless ≥99%, Escalation <0.1%, Accuracy ≥99.5%). The measurement pipeline is already grounded; the denominator activates when the pilot estate runs.
+- Q2: Decision Ledger Coverage was already grounded — the *tamper-evidence* is the Q2 upgrade (SQLite hash-chain → S3 Object Lock + JWS). Cost Savings ≥25% becomes CFO-grade with live CUR reconciliation.
+- Q3: Drift Auto-Reversal ≥95% unblocks when the drift scheduler ships. Spend Reduction ≥25% is the same target, now measured against the pilot baseline.
+- Q4: Predictive:Reactive ≥3:1 requires the ML forecasting service. AI-Agent Intent Share ≥40% moves from aspiration to first measurement.
+- The month-18 destination: "Nova is the layer enterprise leadership points to when they say 'we don't have an infrastructure ops team anymore, and the audit trail is stronger than it ever was.'"
+
+**If asked "are these committed or aspirational?"**: Q1–Q3 are committed (grounded pipeline + known unblock paths). Q4 targets are committed-deliverable, aspirational-metric — the ML service ships, the ≥40% intent share is first measurement (we don't control adoption rate).

docs/presentations/nova-no-humans-platform.md

@@ -414,4 +414,40 @@ This appendix shows the real cost figures + the zero-cost steady state.
 ---
 
 > **End of deck.** 16 main slides + 2 appendix slides = 18 total.
-> Both old decks (`how-the-platform-works` + `the-developer-experience`) are retired (D-130).
+> Both old decks (`how-the-platform-works` + `the-developer-experience`) are retired (D-130).
+---
+
+## Slide 20 — 12-Month Product Roadmap
+
+**The product arc from pilot activation to agentic substrate — four quarters, four outcomes.**
+
+This slide shows the 12-month product roadmap — the forward-looking product-outcome arc. It is distinct from Slide 15 (the deferred-metric unblock paths), which explains *why* metrics are deferred and *how* they unblock. This slide shows *what's coming, when* — organized by quarter and board-level outcome.
+
+**Speaker notes:**
+
+- The roadmap is organized by product outcome, not by technical milestone. Each quarter activates one strategic objective from the North Star.
+- Q1 is pilot activation — re-provision live AWS, light up the first pilot estate, and activate the three post-pilot denominator metrics (Touchless Resolution Rate, Human Escalation Frequency, AI Decision Accuracy). The onboarding auto-grant ships, so consumers can self-provision without platform-team intervention.
+- Q2 is provable trust — the audit substrate goes from a SQLite hash-chain to a tamper-evident ledger (S3 Object Lock + JWS daily checkpoints). Live cost reconciliation (CUR) goes live so the CFO sees real cloud-spend data, not just pre-apply Infracost estimates.
+- Q3 is compounding ROI + drift — drift detection ships (the scheduler that was deferred), drift auto-reversal activates (≥95% within one detection cycle), and the ≥25% spend-reduction target is measured against the pilot estate's 12-month pre-Nova baseline. This is the quarter the CFO points to a number that improves quarter-over-quarter.
+- Q4 is agentic substrate + predictive — the ML anomaly-forecasting service ships (predictive-vs-reactive ≥3:1), the AI-agent intent consumption surface goes live, and multi-cloud (Azure/GCP) enters preview. The Future Horizon target (AI-Agent Intent Share ≥40%) moves from aspiration to first measurement.
+
+**The month-18 destination:** *"Nova is the layer enterprise leadership points to when they say 'we don't have an infrastructure ops team anymore, and the audit trail is stronger than it ever was' — and it is the default substrate their AI engineering teams reach for first when an agent needs to deploy."*
+
+> **Benefit:** you now know the 12-month product arc — each quarter activates a strategic objective and its corresponding board-level metric, from pilot activation through agentic substrate leadership.
+
+---
+
+## Slide 21 — Quarter-by-Quarter Outcomes
+
+This slide is the detail table behind Slide 20 — the concrete deliverable, target metric, and strategic-objective grounding for each quarter.
+
+**Speaker notes:**
+
+- Each row has a product theme (the narrative), a key deliverable (what ships), a target metric (the board-level number), and a grounding (which strategic objective it activates).
+- Q1's three target metrics (Touchless ≥99%, Escalation <0.1%, Accuracy ≥99.5%) are the post-pilot metrics from the North Star — their measurement pipeline is grounded this milestone, but the denominator is zero until a pilot estate activates. Q1 is when the denominator goes live.
+- Q2's Decision Ledger Coverage (100%) is already grounded; the *tamper-evidence* is the Q2 upgrade. Cost Savings ≥25% is the Infracost-grounded target — Q2 is when actual-spend reconciliation (CUR) makes it CFO-grade.
+- Q3's Drift Auto-Reversal ≥95% is the deferred metric that unblocks when the drift detection scheduler ships. Spend Reduction ≥25% is the same target, now measured against the pilot baseline (not just estimated).
+- Q4's Predictive:Reactive ≥3:1 requires the ML forecasting service — the most technically ambitious deliverable. AI-Agent Intent Share ≥40% is the Future Horizon target — it moves from aspiration to first measurement when the agentic consumption surface goes live.
+- The roadmap does NOT duplicate the 19 completed technical milestones (v1.0–v1.19) — it is forward-looking only. It does NOT duplicate Slide 15's deferred-metric unblock paths — it uses them as the mechanism, but the audience sees the product arc, not the decision IDs.
+
+> **Benefit:** you now know the quarter-by-quarter detail — each quarter has a concrete deliverable, a target metric grounded in a strategic objective, and a path from "honestly deferred" to "shipped and measured."