Files
acdl/docs/NO_HUMANS_THESIS.md
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Jon Chery b054849a99 docs(P4): metrics catalog + NORTH_STAR integration + trust snapshot + no-humans thesis (REQ-186,191..195,204,210..213)
P4 (Wave 3, docs) — REQ-186, 191, 192, 193, 194, 195, 204, 210, 211, 212, 213

New docs:
- docs/METRICS.md — canonical KPI catalog (grounded/derived/deferred)
- docs/metrics/*.md — 13 per-KPI definition-of-success docs (D-127)
- docs/METRICS_DEFERRED_ROADMAP.md — 8 deferred metrics + hot-path plan + re-eval triggers (REQ-210)
- docs/NO_HUMANS_THESIS.md — thesis defensibility brief (REQ-213)

New tools:
- core/metrics/trust_snapshot.py — 5 trust metrics + chain-integrity verdict + snapshot hash (REQ-211)
- scripts/check_north_star_diff.sh — CI check for NORTH_STAR strategic section changes (REQ-204)

Modified:
- .ciagent/config.json — strategic_direction_file: .ciagent/NORTH_STAR.md (REQ-186)

---ci---
project: acdl
phase: 4
milestone: v1.17
status: execute
---/ci---
2026-08-04 20:05:06 +00:00

3.6 KiB

Nova — The No-Humans Infrastructure Platform: Thesis Defensibility Brief

v1.17 — Strategic Direction, Leadership Metrics & Unified Story (REQ-213) Generated: 2026-08-04

The thesis

Nova is the autonomous infrastructure layer that lets product teams ship without engaging an operator, and lets executives trust the AI not because it never fails but because every decision is captured, scored, and accountable.

Autonomy in operations; human at stage gates. The operator is removed from the loop of normal operations. Human attestation remains required at stage gates — QA signs off for production, SRE greenlights based on operational readiness. The absence of an operator is never the absence of a record.

Grounded proof (measurable today)

Proof Source Status
18 capabilities verified, 4 honestly skipped (0 broken) REGRESSION_REPORT.json grounded
Decision Ledger captures 100% of AI decisions with outcome backfill metrics/decision_ledger.db grounded (this milestone)
Attestation Coverage: 100% of prod/dr promotions attested by a human hitl_gates.py + outbox approver_* grounded
Confidence-gated policy engine (not an LLM) — 6 weighted inputs, band outcome confidence_signal.py grounded
8-concern attestation matrix with separation-of-duties on prod attestation_matrix.py + separation_of_duties.py grounded
Pre-apply cost estimates (Infracost, offline) infracost_adapter.py grounded
Test suite passes (~656 tests) metrics/test-results.xml grounded

Deferred proof (measurable when blocking decisions lift)

Proof Blocking Decision Unblock Requirement
Touchless Resolution Rate ≥99% across production estates 0 consumers today Pilot estate activation
Live infrastructure health (ECS, ALB, RPS) D-096 Live AWS re-provisioning
Onboarding funnel: requested → granted D-113/D-114/D-119 Auto-grant implementation
Drift auto-reversal rate ≥95% D-096 + no scheduler Drift detection scheduler
Predictive vs reactive ratio ≥3:1 future emitter ML anomaly-forecasting service
Tamper-evident ledger checkpoints (S3 Object Lock + JWS) D-083 Audit ledger build-out

Anti-claims (what Nova is NOT)

  1. Nova's "AI" is NOT an LLM planner. It is a confidence-gated policy engine (confidence_signal + HITL gate). The Decision Ledger captures this real decision path — not a fabricated "AI agent" that doesn't exist yet (D-122). When an LLM planner is added, it will emit richer alternatives_considered without schema breakage.
  2. Nova does NOT remove humans from accountability. Only from operations. Every stage-gate promotion (qa/prod/dr) requires a human attestation recorded with approver identity, separation-of-duties check, and the 8-concern evidence matrix (NORTH_STAR Anti-Goal #3).
  3. Nova is NOT for legacy, untagged, or freeform infrastructure. It requires Terraform-managed, policy-aligned, fully-tagged inputs (NORTH_STAR Anti-Goal #4).
  4. Nova does NOT fabricate metrics. Every metric is grounded (cites a source file), derived (documented formula), or deferred (cites a blocking decision ID). No fabricated numbers in any deck slide or METRICS.md entry (the "no fabrication" hard constraint).

What "won" looks like

By month 18, Nova is the layer enterprise leadership points to when they say "we don't have an infrastructure ops team anymore, and the audit trail is stronger than it ever was" — and it is the default substrate their AI engineering teams reach for first when an agent needs to deploy.