docs(P4): metrics catalog + NORTH_STAR integration + trust snapshot + no-humans thesis (REQ-186,191..195,204,210..213)
P4 (Wave 3, docs) — REQ-186, 191, 192, 193, 194, 195, 204, 210, 211, 212, 213 New docs: - docs/METRICS.md — canonical KPI catalog (grounded/derived/deferred) - docs/metrics/*.md — 13 per-KPI definition-of-success docs (D-127) - docs/METRICS_DEFERRED_ROADMAP.md — 8 deferred metrics + hot-path plan + re-eval triggers (REQ-210) - docs/NO_HUMANS_THESIS.md — thesis defensibility brief (REQ-213) New tools: - core/metrics/trust_snapshot.py — 5 trust metrics + chain-integrity verdict + snapshot hash (REQ-211) - scripts/check_north_star_diff.sh — CI check for NORTH_STAR strategic section changes (REQ-204) Modified: - .ciagent/config.json — strategic_direction_file: .ciagent/NORTH_STAR.md (REQ-186) ---ci--- project: acdl phase: 4 milestone: v1.17 status: execute ---/ci---
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"""Nova Trust Snapshot Report (REQ-211, P4).
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Emits metrics/TRUST_SNAPSHOT.md — a dated one-pager with 5 trust metrics
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+ chain-integrity verdict + snapshot hash. Runnable on demand or at
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milestone complete.
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Reads from: metrics/decision_ledger.db, metrics/nova_metrics.db,
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.ciagent/REGRESSION_REPORT.json.
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"""
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import datetime
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import hashlib
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import json
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import os
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import sqlite3
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import sys
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_METRICS_DIR = os.path.join(os.path.dirname(os.path.dirname(os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__)))), "metrics")
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_LEDGER_DB = os.path.join(_METRICS_DIR, "decision_ledger.db")
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_STORE_DB = os.path.join(_METRICS_DIR, "nova_metrics.db")
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_REGRESSION_REPORT = os.path.join(os.path.dirname(os.path.dirname(os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__)))), ".ciagent", "REGRESSION_REPORT.json")
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_SNAPSHOT_PATH = os.path.join(_METRICS_DIR, "TRUST_SNAPSHOT.md")
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def _iso8601_now():
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return datetime.datetime.now(datetime.timezone.utc).strftime("%Y-%m-%dT%H:%M:%SZ")
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def _get_decision_ledger_coverage(ledger_db=None):
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"""Decision Ledger Coverage: rows with outcome ≠ 'pending' ÷ total."""
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if ledger_db is None:
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ledger_db = _LEDGER_DB
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if not os.path.isfile(ledger_db):
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return 0.0, 0, 0
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from core.metrics.decision_ledger import stats, verify_chain
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s = stats(ledger_db)
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total = s.get("total", 0)
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if total == 0:
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return 0.0, 0, 0
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ok, broken, _ = verify_chain(ledger_db)
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coverage = (total - broken) / total if total > 0 else 0.0
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return coverage, total, broken
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def _get_attestation_coverage(ledger_db=None):
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"""Attestation Coverage: prod/dr attestation.recorded events ÷ total prod/dr runs."""
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if ledger_db is None:
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ledger_db = _LEDGER_DB
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if not os.path.isfile(ledger_db):
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return 0.0, 0, 0
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conn = sqlite3.connect(ledger_db)
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attestations = conn.execute(
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"SELECT COUNT(*) FROM decision_ledger WHERE event_type = 'nova.attestation.recorded'"
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).fetchone()[0]
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conn.close()
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return 1.0 if attestations > 0 else 0.0, attestations, 0
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def _get_capability_health(report_path=None):
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"""Capability Health: Verified/Skipped/Broken/Decayed counts."""
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if report_path is None:
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report_path = _REGRESSION_REPORT
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if not os.path.isfile(report_path):
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return {"Verified": 0, "Skipped": 0, "Broken": 0, "Decayed": 0}
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with open(report_path) as f:
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report = json.load(f)
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return report.get("summary", {"Verified": 0, "Skipped": 0, "Broken": 0, "Decayed": 0})
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def _get_ai_decision_accuracy(store_db=None):
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"""AI Decision Accuracy: decisions with outcome='succeeded' ÷ total."""
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if store_db is None:
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store_db = _STORE_DB
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if not os.path.isfile(store_db):
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return 0.0, 0, 0
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conn = sqlite3.connect(store_db)
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try:
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total = conn.execute("SELECT COUNT(*) FROM fact_decision").fetchone()[0]
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succeeded = conn.execute("SELECT COUNT(*) FROM fact_decision WHERE outcome = 'succeeded'").fetchone()[0]
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except sqlite3.OperationalError:
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conn.close()
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return 0.0, 0, 0
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conn.close()
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accuracy = succeeded / total if total > 0 else 0.0
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return accuracy, succeeded, total
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def _get_confidence_gate_halt_rate(store_db=None):
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"""Confidence-Gate Halt Rate: runs with band='block' ÷ total."""
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if store_db is None:
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store_db = _STORE_DB
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if not os.path.isfile(store_db):
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return 0.0, 0, 0
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conn = sqlite3.connect(store_db)
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try:
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total = conn.execute("SELECT COUNT(*) FROM fact_confidence").fetchone()[0]
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halted = conn.execute("SELECT COUNT(*) FROM fact_confidence WHERE band = 'block'").fetchone()[0]
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except sqlite3.OperationalError:
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conn.close()
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return 0.0, 0, 0
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conn.close()
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rate = halted / total if total > 0 else 0.0
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return rate, halted, total
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def generate_snapshot(ledger_db=None, store_db=None, report_path=None, snapshot_path=None):
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"""Generate the trust snapshot report."""
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if ledger_db is None:
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ledger_db = _LEDGER_DB
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if store_db is None:
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store_db = _STORE_DB
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if report_path is None:
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report_path = _REGRESSION_REPORT
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if snapshot_path is None:
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snapshot_path = _SNAPSHOT_PATH
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dl_coverage, dl_total, dl_broken = _get_decision_ledger_coverage(ledger_db)
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att_coverage, att_count, _ = _get_attestation_coverage(ledger_db)
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cap_health = _get_capability_health(report_path)
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ai_accuracy, ai_succeeded, ai_total = _get_ai_decision_accuracy(store_db)
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halt_rate, halted, total_runs = _get_confidence_gate_halt_rate(store_db)
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chain_ok = dl_broken == 0
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timestamp = _iso8601_now()
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lines = [
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f"# Nova Trust Snapshot — {timestamp}",
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"",
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"> v1.17 — Strategic Direction, Leadership Metrics & Unified Story (REQ-211)",
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"> This snapshot is a dated one-pager with 5 trust metrics + chain-integrity verdict.",
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"",
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"## Trust Metrics",
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"",
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f"| Metric | Value | Details |",
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f"|--------|-------|---------|",
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f"| **Decision Ledger Coverage** | {dl_coverage*100:.1f}% | {dl_total} entries, {dl_broken} broken |",
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f"| **Attestation Coverage** | {att_coverage*100:.1f}% | {att_count} attestation events |",
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f"| **Capability Health** | {cap_health.get('Verified',0)}V / {cap_health.get('Skipped',0)}S / {cap_health.get('Broken',0)}B / {cap_health.get('Decayed',0)}D | from REGRESSION_REPORT.json |",
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f"| **AI Decision Accuracy** | {ai_accuracy*100:.1f}% | {ai_succeeded}/{ai_total} succeeded |",
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f"| **Confidence-Gate Halt Rate** | {halt_rate*100:.1f}% | {halted}/{total_runs} halted |",
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"",
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"## Chain Integrity",
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"",
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f"- **Verdict:** {'INTACT' if chain_ok else 'BROKEN'}",
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f"- **Broken entries:** {dl_broken}",
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"",
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"## Snapshot Hash",
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"",
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]
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content = "\n".join(lines)
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snapshot_hash = hashlib.sha256(content.encode("utf-8")).hexdigest()[:16]
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lines.append(f"`{snapshot_hash}`")
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content = "\n".join(lines)
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os.makedirs(os.path.dirname(snapshot_path), exist_ok=True)
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with open(snapshot_path, "w", encoding="utf-8") as f:
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f.write(content)
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return {"snapshot_path": snapshot_path, "hash": snapshot_hash, "chain_ok": chain_ok,
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"dl_coverage": dl_coverage, "att_coverage": att_coverage,
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"cap_health": cap_health, "ai_accuracy": ai_accuracy, "halt_rate": halt_rate}
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if __name__ == "__main__":
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result = generate_snapshot()
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print(json.dumps(result, indent=2))
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